ATP tennis predict — Kenta Miyoshi vs Philip Sekulic

Challenger Hard Phan Thiet 4 challenger · R16 05:05

Predicted probability

Kenta Miyoshi

Japan

59.01%

Philip Sekulic

Australia

40.99%

Average Odds

1.51 / 2.42

Market probability

61.58% / 38.42%

Why This Prediction?

Kenta Miyoshi is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1654 vs 1589), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1648 vs 1584) and a better head-to-head record against Philip Sekulic (1-0).

Player Comparison

1653.9 Elo 1588.7

1647.8 Elo (surface) 1583.8

33 Wins (Challenger) 70

33 Wins (surface) 70

11 Last 15 form 9

1 Head-to-head wins 0

1.140 Dominance ratio 1.179

- Rank 348

22.5 Age 23.0

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Kenta Miyoshi

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 9W–2L · 81.8%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–4L · 55.6%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

25 matches with market odds since 2026-07-12.

Philip Sekulic

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–6L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

14 matches with market odds since 2026-07-01.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Kenta Miyoshi Philip Sekulic

1st Serve In %

45.1%

62.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

66.2%

69.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

44.3%

50.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.4%

30.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.4%

44.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.39

0.38

Double Faults per Service Game

0.27

0.17

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

55.4%

60.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

73.8%

68.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.2%

46.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

36.7%

34.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.0%

61.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.28

0.58

Double Faults per Service Game

0.32

0.38

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Kenta Miyoshi Philip Sekulic

Break Points Saved %

42.9%

56.2%

Break Points Converted %

23.1%

27.4%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

56.7%

46.3%

Break Points Converted %

46.3%

46.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Kenta Miyoshi 1 – 0 Philip Sekulic

Hard Phan Thiet 4 challenger · 2026-09-16

R16

Philip Sekulic #348

Kenta Miyoshi #-

6-7 7-6 6-3

25 Aces 3

2 Double Faults 9

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

48 First Serve Won 58

19 Second Serve Won 23

0 Break Points Saved 4

2 Break Points Faced 5

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.4 Average Odds 1.5

Hard Winnipeg CH · 2025-07-07

R32

Kenta Miyoshi #565

Philip Sekulic #477

6-4 7-5

4 Aces 0

1 Double Faults 3

63 Service Points 67

35 First Serve In 39

28 First Serve Won 27

16 Second Serve Won 15

3 Break Points Saved 4

4 Break Points Faced 7

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Kenta Miyoshi vs Philip Sekulic — Prediction