ATP tennis predict — Kenta Miyoshi vs Dan Added

Challenger Hard Samsun challenger · R16

Predicted probability

Kenta Miyoshi

Japan

68.53%

Dan Added

France

31.47%

Average Odds

1.62 / 2.19

Market probability

57.48% / 42.52%

Why This Prediction?

Kenta Miyoshi is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1649 vs 1515), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1654 vs 1544) and a stronger return game (46.5% vs 39.2% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1648.6 Elo 1515.2

1653.7 Elo (surface) 1544.5

22 Wins (Challenger) 85

22 Wins (surface) 73

9 Last 15 form 5

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.290 Dominance ratio 0.942

- Rank 224

22.4 Age 27.3

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Kenta Miyoshi

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 9W–2L · 81.8%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–4L · 55.6%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

25 matches with market odds since 2026-07-12.

Dan Added

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

11 matches with market odds since 2026-06-22.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Kenta Miyoshi Dan Added

1st Serve In %

45.1%

62.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

66.2%

68.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

44.3%

39.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.4%

23.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.4%

44.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.39

0.47

Double Faults per Service Game

0.27

0.23

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

55.4%

57.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

73.8%

70.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.2%

54.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

36.7%

37.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.0%

50.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.28

0.40

Double Faults per Service Game

0.32

0.18

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Kenta Miyoshi Dan Added

Break Points Saved %

42.9%

52.5%

Break Points Converted %

23.1%

42.1%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

56.7%

66.2%

Break Points Converted %

46.3%

39.5%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Kenta Miyoshi 0 – 0 Dan Added

Hard Samsun challenger · 2026-07-30

R16

Kenta Miyoshi #-

Dan Added #224

3-6 6-3 6-4

6 Aces 8

5 Double Faults 0

92 Service Points 87

47 First Serve In 44

31 First Serve Won 34

23 Second Serve Won 20

6 Break Points Saved 4

10 Break Points Faced 7

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.6 Average Odds 2.2

Kenta Miyoshi vs Dan Added — Prediction