ATP tennis predict — Kenta Miyoshi vs Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine

Challenger Hard Samsun challenger · SF

Predicted probability

Kenta Miyoshi

Japan

74.29%

Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine

France

25.71%

Average Odds

1.23 / 3.88

Market probability

75.93% / 24.07%

Why This Prediction?

Kenta Miyoshi is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1677 vs 1481), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1686 vs 1527) and a stronger serve (65.0% vs 62.9% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1677.4 Elo 1480.7

1685.8 Elo (surface) 1527.4

24 Wins (Challenger) 24

24 Wins (surface) 15

10 Last 15 form 7

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.306 Dominance ratio 1.091

- Rank 507

22.4 Age 27.6

right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Kenta Miyoshi

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 9W–2L · 81.8%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–4L · 55.6%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

25 matches with market odds since 2026-07-12.

Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–6L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Kenta Miyoshi Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine

1st Serve In %

45.1%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

66.2%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

44.3%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.4%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.4%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.39

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.27

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

55.4%

62.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

73.8%

67.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.2%

51.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

36.7%

30.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.0%

47.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.28

0.37

Double Faults per Service Game

0.32

0.25

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Kenta Miyoshi Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine

Break Points Saved %

42.9%

—

Break Points Converted %

23.1%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

56.7%

60.5%

Break Points Converted %

46.3%

39.2%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Kenta Miyoshi 0 – 0 Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine

Hard Samsun challenger · 2026-08-01

SF

Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine #507

Kenta Miyoshi #-

4-6 6-4 6-4

4 Aces 1

3 Double Faults 2

89 Service Points 98

51 First Serve In 62

38 First Serve Won 42

22 Second Serve Won 22

4 Break Points Saved 6

7 Break Points Faced 8

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

3.9 Average Odds 1.2

Kenta Miyoshi vs Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine — Prediction