ATP tennis predict — Kenta Miyoshi vs Arda Azkara

Challenger Hard Istanbul challenger · 1. round

Predicted probability

Kenta Miyoshi

Japan

78.20%

Arda Azkara

Turkey

21.80%

Average Odds

1.28 / 3.45

Market probability

72.94% / 27.06%

Why This Prediction?

Kenta Miyoshi is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1664 vs 1450), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1675 vs 1472) and a stronger serve (63.7% vs 62.2% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1664.0 Elo 1449.8

1674.8 Elo (surface) 1472.0

26 Wins (Challenger) 9

26 Wins (surface) 8

12 Last 15 form 6

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.082 Dominance ratio 0.988

- Rank 829

22.4 Age 23.4

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Kenta Miyoshi

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 9W–2L · 81.8%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–4L · 55.6%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

25 matches with market odds since 2026-07-12.

Arda Azkara

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

11 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Kenta Miyoshi Arda Azkara

1st Serve In %

45.1%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

66.2%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

44.3%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.4%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.4%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.39

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.27

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

55.4%

56.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

73.8%

72.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.2%

51.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

36.7%

28.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.0%

47.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.28

0.44

Double Faults per Service Game

0.32

0.44

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Kenta Miyoshi Arda Azkara

Break Points Saved %

42.9%

—

Break Points Converted %

23.1%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

56.7%

69.5%

Break Points Converted %

46.3%

39.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Kenta Miyoshi 0 – 0 Arda Azkara

Hard Istanbul challenger · 2026-08-04

1. round

Kenta Miyoshi #-

Arda Azkara #829

6-3 7-6

10 Aces 3

0 Double Faults 3

57 Service Points 65

33 First Serve In 41

29 First Serve Won 27

17 Second Serve Won 12

2 Break Points Saved 1

3 Break Points Faced 3

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.3 Average Odds 3.5

Kenta Miyoshi vs Arda Azkara — Prediction