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Kenta Miyoshi vs Anton Chekhov — Prediction

Challenger Hard Samsun challenger · qualification - 1. round

Predicted probability

Kenta Miyoshi

Japan

95.68%

Anton Chekhov

Russia

4.32%

Average Odds

1.05  /  9.15

Market probability

89.71%  /  10.29%

Why This Prediction?

Kenta Miyoshi is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1608 vs 1217), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1605 vs 1315) and more career match wins (19 vs 1).

Player Comparison

1608.0 Elo 1217.3
1605.4 Elo (surface) 1314.5
19 Wins (Challenger) 1
19 Wins (surface) 0
6 Last 15 form 1
0 Head-to-head wins 0
1.079 Dominance ratio 0.681
- Rank 1738
22.4 Age 33.9
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Kenta Miyoshi

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 9W–2L · 81.8%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–4L · 55.6%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

25 matches with market odds since 2026-07-12.

Anton Chekhov

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

1 matches with market odds since 2026-07-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Kenta Miyoshi Anton Chekhov

1st Serve In %

45.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

66.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

44.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.39

Double Faults per Service Game

0.27

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

55.4%
57.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

73.8%
56.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.2%
42.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

36.7%
32.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.0%
42.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.28
0.24

Double Faults per Service Game

0.32
0.57

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Kenta Miyoshi Anton Chekhov

Break Points Saved %

42.9%

Break Points Converted %

23.1%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

56.7%
50.0%

Break Points Converted %

46.3%
52.4%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Kenta Miyoshi 00 Anton Chekhov

Hard Samsun challenger · 2026-07-26

qualification - 1. round

Kenta Miyoshi #-

Anton Chekhov #-

6-1 6-2
1 Aces 0
0 Double Faults 5
40 Service Points 44
26 First Serve In 20
23 First Serve Won 12
10 Second Serve Won 11
1 Break Points Saved 1
1 Break Points Faced 5
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
1.1 Average Odds 9.2

Kenta Miyoshi — Last 10

L L W L W L W L W W

Anton Chekhov — Last 10

L L L W L L L L L L