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Keisuke Saitoh vs Yusuke Takahashi — Prediction

Challenger Hard Wuning 3 challenger · qualification - round of 16 04:10

Predicted probability

Keisuke Saitoh

Japan

29.79%

Yusuke Takahashi

Japan

70.21%

Average Odds

1.56  /  2.28

Market probability

59.38%  /  40.62%

Why This Prediction?

Yusuke Takahashi is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1480 vs 1412), more wins on hard courts (103 vs 7) and a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1474 vs 1411).

Player Comparison

1411.7 Elo 1480.4
1410.7 Elo (surface) 1473.5
8 Wins (Challenger) 107
7 Wins (surface) 103
4 Last 15 form 7
0 Head-to-head wins 0
0.735 Dominance ratio 1.032
550 Rank 723
25.4 Age 29.0
left Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Keisuke Saitoh

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

3 matches with market odds since 2026-09-28.

Yusuke Takahashi

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–1L · 50.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

5 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Keisuke Saitoh Yusuke Takahashi

1st Serve In %

—
55.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

—
71.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—
47.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—
30.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—
56.4%

Aces per Service Game

—
0.31

Double Faults per Service Game

—
0.27

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

70.0%
60.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

59.3%
69.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

55.4%
50.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

21.4%
30.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.5%
49.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.09
0.22

Double Faults per Service Game

0.12
0.22

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Keisuke Saitoh Yusuke Takahashi

Break Points Saved %

—
60.7%

Break Points Converted %

—
46.9%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

48.1%
56.1%

Break Points Converted %

41.7%
38.2%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Keisuke Saitoh and Yusuke Takahashi have never played each other.

Keisuke Saitoh — Last 10

W L W L L L W L L L

Yusuke Takahashi — Last 10

W L L L W L W L W L