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Keisuke Saitoh vs Jay Dylan Hara Friend — Prediction

Challenger Hard Wuning 3 challenger · SF 05:00

Predicted probability

Average Odds

4.02  /  1.22

Market probability

23.28%  /  76.72%

Why This Prediction?

Jay Dylan Hara Friend is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1792 vs 1513), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1767 vs 1513) and more wins on hard courts (34 vs 10).

Player Comparison

1512.7 Elo 1791.7
1513.4 Elo (surface) 1767.4
11 Wins (Challenger) 34
10 Wins (surface) 34
7 Last 15 form 10
0 Head-to-head wins 0
0.735 Dominance ratio 1.032
550 Rank 260
25.4 Age 22.8
left Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Keisuke Saitoh

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–0L · 100.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

6 matches with market odds since 2026-09-28.

Jay Dylan Hara Friend

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–1L · 83.3%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 9W–7L · 56.2%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–1L · 80.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

31 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Keisuke Saitoh Jay Dylan Hara Friend

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

1st Serve In %

70.2%
58.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

64.7%
64.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

55.8%
56.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

23.0%
34.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.4%
45.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.12
0.35

Double Faults per Service Game

0.11
0.20

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Keisuke Saitoh Jay Dylan Hara Friend

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

Break Points Saved %

53.5%
54.2%

Break Points Converted %

53.8%
45.2%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Keisuke Saitoh and Jay Dylan Hara Friend have never played each other.

Keisuke Saitoh — Last 10

W W W W L W L L L W

Jay Dylan Hara Friend — Last 10

W W L W W W W L W L