ATP tennis predict — Keisuke Saitoh vs Dominik Palan

Challenger Hard Wuning 3 challenger · 1. round 06:40

Predicted probability

Keisuke Saitoh

Japan

45.21%

Dominik Palan

Czech Republic

54.79%

Average Odds

1.39 / 2.83

Market probability

67.06% / 32.94%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1448.6 Elo 1438.2

1448.0 Elo (surface) 1454.7

9 Wins (Challenger) 42

8 Wins (surface) 42

5 Last 15 form 7

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.735 Dominance ratio 1.008

550 Rank 631

25.4 Age 26.0

left Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Keisuke Saitoh

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

4 matches with market odds since 2026-09-28.

Dominik Palan

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–7L · 30.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

18 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Keisuke Saitoh Dominik Palan

1st Serve In %

—

65.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

—

77.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—

38.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—

26.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—

45.4%

Aces per Service Game

—

0.75

Double Faults per Service Game

—

0.28

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

70.0%

55.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

59.7%

74.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

56.5%

50.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

21.8%

28.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.8%

50.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.11

0.54

Double Faults per Service Game

0.11

0.46

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Keisuke Saitoh Dominik Palan

Break Points Saved %

—

67.5%

Break Points Converted %

—

33.3%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

45.7%

63.9%

Break Points Converted %

47.5%

43.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Keisuke Saitoh and Dominik Palan have never played each other.

Keisuke Saitoh vs Dominik Palan — Prediction