ATP tennis predict — Keisuke Saitoh vs Akira Santillan

Challenger Hard Wuning 3 challenger · QF 04:00

Predicted probability

Keisuke Saitoh

Japan

45.77%

Akira Santillan

Australia

54.23%

Average Odds

2.19 / 1.62

Market probability

42.52% / 57.48%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1512.7 Elo 1571.4

1513.4 Elo (surface) 1555.2

11 Wins (Challenger) 165

10 Wins (surface) 117

7 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.735 Dominance ratio 1.002

550 Rank 324

25.4 Age 29.4

left Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Keisuke Saitoh

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

6 matches with market odds since 2026-09-28.

Akira Santillan

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–9L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

26 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Keisuke Saitoh Akira Santillan

1st Serve In %

—

59.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

—

73.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—

53.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—

27.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—

44.4%

Aces per Service Game

—

0.78

Double Faults per Service Game

—

0.37

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

70.2%

64.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

64.7%

71.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

55.8%

50.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

23.0%

34.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.4%

43.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.12

0.51

Double Faults per Service Game

0.11

0.22

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Keisuke Saitoh Akira Santillan

Break Points Saved %

—

53.6%

Break Points Converted %

—

45.2%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

53.5%

60.0%

Break Points Converted %

53.8%

32.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Keisuke Saitoh and Akira Santillan have never played each other.

Keisuke Saitoh vs Akira Santillan — Prediction