ATP tennis predict — Kei Nishikori vs Francisco Comesana

ATP Hard Cincinnati · qualification - 1. round 21:10

Predicted probability

Kei Nishikori

Japan

69.56%

Francisco Comesana

Argentina

30.44%

Average Odds

1.94 / 1.81

Market probability

48.27% / 51.73%

Why This Prediction?

Kei Nishikori is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1797 vs 1462), a higher Elo rating (1782 vs 1653) and more wins on hard courts (330 vs 19).

Player Comparison

1781.9 Elo 1652.9

1796.7 Elo (surface) 1462.5

489 Wins 49

330 Wins (surface) 19

6 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.834 Dominance ratio 1.207

467 Rank 107

36.6 Age 25.8

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Kei Nishikori

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

8 matches with market odds since 2026-07-27.

Francisco Comesana

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

13 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Kei Nishikori Francisco Comesana

1st Serve In %

60.6%

62.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.9%

74.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.7%

52.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.6%

28.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.4%

46.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.35

0.39

Double Faults per Service Game

0.21

0.25

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

61.9%

61.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.5%

65.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.9%

48.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.3%

37.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.0%

50.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.22

0.33

Double Faults per Service Game

0.23

0.20

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Kei Nishikori Francisco Comesana

Break Points Saved %

55.1%

66.7%

Break Points Converted %

31.6%

41.7%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

48.1%

60.9%

Break Points Converted %

47.5%

38.4%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Kei Nishikori 0 – 0 Francisco Comesana

Hard Cincinnati · 2026-08-12

qualification - 1. round

Kei Nishikori #467

Francisco Comesana #107

6-4 1-6 7-5

4 Aces 7

3 Double Faults 6

87 Service Points 97

57 First Serve In 55

38 First Serve Won 40

15 Second Serve Won 17

2 Break Points Saved 7

6 Break Points Faced 11

18 Winners 24

38 Unforced Errors 43

1.9 Average Odds 1.8

Kei Nishikori vs Francisco Comesana — Prediction