← Back to Predictions

Keegan Smith vs Vit Kopriva — Prediction

Challenger Hard Jinan challenger · R16 08:00

Predicted probability

Keegan Smith

USA

30.00%

Vit Kopriva

Czech Republic

70.00%

Average Odds

2.51  /  1.49

Market probability

37.25%  /  62.75%

Why This Prediction?

Vit Kopriva is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1815 vs 1646), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1738 vs 1614) and a stronger return game (36.7% vs 31.4% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1646.0 Elo 1815.2
1614.1 Elo (surface) 1737.8
109 Wins (Challenger) 175
99 Wins (surface) 39
7 Last 15 form 8
0 Head-to-head wins 0
0.730 Dominance ratio 1.137
202 Rank 68
28.3 Age 29.3
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Keegan Smith

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–1L · 75.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–5L · 44.4%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–1L · 75.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–4L · 42.9%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

24 matches with market odds since 2026-05-31.

Vit Kopriva

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–1L · 66.7%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–2L · 33.3%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–1L · 75.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–8L · 20.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Keegan Smith Vit Kopriva

1st Serve In %

71.2%
57.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

75.5%
64.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

61.5%
52.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.5%
27.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

45.5%
53.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.64
0.48

Double Faults per Service Game

0.17
0.28

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

63.1%
60.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.7%
66.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.6%
52.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

17.3%
33.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

38.1%
49.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.61
0.41

Double Faults per Service Game

0.18
0.29

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Keegan Smith Vit Kopriva

Break Points Saved %

68.4%
59.3%

Break Points Converted %

34.6%
44.4%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

68.8%
61.2%

Break Points Converted %

31.3%
37.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Keegan Smith and Vit Kopriva have never played each other.

Keegan Smith — Last 10

W L L W W L W L L L

Vit Kopriva — Last 10

W L L L W L L W L L