ATP tennis predict — Keegan Rice vs Daniel Milavsky

Challenger Hard Vancouver challenger · QF

Predicted probability

Keegan Rice

Canada

40.55%

Daniel Milavsky

USA

59.45%

Average Odds

2.06 / 1.71

Market probability

45.36% / 54.64%

Why This Prediction?

Daniel Milavsky is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1674 vs 1556), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1601 vs 1565) and more career match wins (29 vs 7).

Player Comparison

1555.7 Elo 1674.1

1565.5 Elo (surface) 1601.0

7 Wins (Challenger) 29

7 Wins (surface) 24

7 Last 15 form 11

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.021 Dominance ratio 1.015

831 Rank 325

20.1 Age 24.9

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Keegan Rice

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

8 matches with market odds since 2026-07-14.

Daniel Milavsky

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 8W–3L · 72.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–6L · 40.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

26 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Keegan Rice Daniel Milavsky

1st Serve In %

64.7%

65.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

81.8%

70.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

38.9%

37.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

7.4%

23.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

42.9%

50.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.44

0.64

Double Faults per Service Game

0.11

0.27

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

62.5%

59.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

63.5%

70.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.7%

46.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

35.5%

32.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.3%

52.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.34

0.44

Double Faults per Service Game

0.33

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Keegan Rice Daniel Milavsky

Break Points Saved %

66.7%

70.0%

Break Points Converted %

0.0%

40.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

50.0%

56.8%

Break Points Converted %

46.1%

42.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Keegan Rice 0 – 0 Daniel Milavsky

Hard Vancouver challenger · 2026-07-30

QF

Keegan Rice #831

Daniel Milavsky #325

1-6 6-1 7-6

9 Aces 2

4 Double Faults 5

69 Service Points 82

41 First Serve In 50

27 First Serve Won 35

15 Second Serve Won 14

1 Break Points Saved 4

5 Break Points Faced 8

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.1 Average Odds 1.7

Keegan Rice vs Daniel Milavsky — Prediction