ATP tennis predict — Keaton Hance vs Andres Martin

Challenger Hard San Diego 2 challenger · 1. round 03:50

Predicted probability

Keaton Hance

USA

11.21%

Andres Martin

USA

88.79%

Average Odds

3.70 / 1.25

Market probability

25.25% / 74.75%

Why This Prediction?

Andres Martin is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1635 vs 1500), a higher Elo rating (1624 vs 1467) and more wins on hard courts (55 vs 0).

Player Comparison

1467.3 Elo 1623.6

1500 Elo (surface) 1634.7

0 Wins (Challenger) 63

0 Wins (surface) 55

0 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.850 Dominance ratio 1.039

865 Rank 322

None Age 25.2

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Keaton Hance

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

1 matches with market odds since 2026-09-23.

Andres Martin

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–4L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

21 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Keaton Hance Andres Martin

1st Serve In %

—

56.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

—

64.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—

41.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—

31.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—

51.0%

Aces per Service Game

—

0.35

Double Faults per Service Game

—

0.28

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

57.5%

60.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.0%

68.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.2%

44.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.4%

33.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.0%

50.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.14

0.25

Double Faults per Service Game

0.59

0.22

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Keaton Hance Andres Martin

Break Points Saved %

—

56.0%

Break Points Converted %

—

32.3%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

77.8%

52.0%

Break Points Converted %

33.3%

40.5%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Keaton Hance 0 – 0 Andres Martin

Hard San Diego 2 challenger · 2026-09-23

1. round

Keaton Hance #865

Andres Martin #322

6-4 7-5

3 Aces 1

7 Double Faults 1

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

31 First Serve Won 21

23 Second Serve Won 16

8 Break Points Saved 2

9 Break Points Faced 5

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

3.7 Average Odds 1.2

Keaton Hance vs Andres Martin — Prediction