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Kaylan Bigun vs Lucas Andrade Da Silva — Prediction

Challenger Hard Kingston 2 challenger · qualification - 1. round 16:00

Predicted probability

Average Odds

2.71  /  1.42

Market probability

34.38%  /  65.62%

Why This Prediction?

Lucas Andrade Da Silva is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1646 vs 1395) and a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1545 vs 1353).

Player Comparison

1394.8 Elo 1646.0
1352.7 Elo (surface) 1544.5
12 Wins (Challenger) 11
8 Wins (surface) 2
2 Last 15 form 11
0 Head-to-head wins 0
0.990 Dominance ratio 0.991
548 Rank 820
20.2 Age 21.6
left Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Kaylan Bigun

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–3L · 0.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

7 matches with market odds since 2026-07-12.

Lucas Andrade Da Silva

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–2L · 66.7%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–2L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

15 matches with market odds since 2026-06-21.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Kaylan Bigun Lucas Andrade Da Silva

1st Serve In %

38.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

65.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

24.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

56.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.18

Double Faults per Service Game

0.73

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

59.8%
62.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.8%
68.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.8%
52.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.2%
24.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.4%
49.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.41
0.40

Double Faults per Service Game

0.36
0.28

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Kaylan Bigun Lucas Andrade Da Silva

Break Points Saved %

50.0%

Break Points Converted %

16.7%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

55.0%
58.2%

Break Points Converted %

41.0%
45.2%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Kaylan Bigun 00 Lucas Andrade Da Silva

Hard Kingston 2 challenger · 2026-08-23

qualification - 1. round

Kaylan Bigun #548

Lucas Andrade Da Silva #820

6-1 6-4
8 Aces 6
2 Double Faults 0
47 Service Points 52
26 First Serve In 35
23 First Serve Won 21
13 Second Serve Won 8
0 Break Points Saved 1
0 Break Points Faced 4
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
2.7 Average Odds 1.4

Kaylan Bigun — Last 10

L L L W W L L L L L

Lucas Andrade Da Silva — Last 10

L L W W L W W W W L