ATP tennis predict — Kasidit Samrej vs Timofey Skatov

ATP Hard Asian Games · R16

Predicted probability

Kasidit Samrej

Thailand

46.23%

Timofey Skatov

Kazakhstan

53.77%

Average Odds

- / -

Market probability

- / -

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1649.9 Elo 1684.0

1627.3 Elo (surface) 1584.6

4 Wins 45

4 Wins (surface) 14

4 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 1

0.862 Dominance ratio 1.012

389 Rank 204

25.7 Age 25.7

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Kasidit Samrej

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

9 matches with market odds since 2026-08-11.

Timofey Skatov

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–4L · 33.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–4L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

24 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Kasidit Samrej Timofey Skatov

1st Serve In %

56.4%

67.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.0%

70.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

41.9%

50.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.6%

29.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.1%

48.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.33

0.44

Double Faults per Service Game

0.46

0.19

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

62.1%

64.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

76.1%

70.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.3%

53.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.1%

32.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.6%

48.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.66

0.48

Double Faults per Service Game

0.51

0.25

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Kasidit Samrej Timofey Skatov

Break Points Saved %

48.4%

64.7%

Break Points Converted %

46.2%

44.6%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

78.3%

46.8%

Break Points Converted %

39.5%

34.6%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Kasidit Samrej 0 – 1 Timofey Skatov

Hard Nonthaburi 2 CH · 2026-01-12

R16

Timofey Skatov #195

Kasidit Samrej #413

6-4 6-2

5 Aces 6

1 Double Faults 2

44 Service Points 52

28 First Serve In 39

22 First Serve Won 24

12 Second Serve Won 6

0 Break Points Saved 2

1 Break Points Faced 6

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Kasidit Samrej vs Timofey Skatov — Prediction