ATP tennis predict — Kasidit Samrej vs Enzo Aguiard

Challenger Hard Wuning 3 challenger · 1. round 04:00

Predicted probability

Kasidit Samrej

Thailand

59.63%

Enzo Aguiard

Australia

40.37%

Average Odds

1.85 / 1.83

Market probability

49.73% / 50.27%

Why This Prediction?

Kasidit Samrej is the favorite because he has a stronger return game (40.0% vs 35.0% of return points won), a higher Elo rating (1650 vs 1605) and a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1627 vs 1601).

Player Comparison

1649.9 Elo 1604.7

1627.3 Elo (surface) 1600.6

46 Wins (Challenger) 13

46 Wins (surface) 13

9 Last 15 form 8

1 Head-to-head wins 0

1.155 Dominance ratio 1.015

389 Rank 438

25.7 Age 24.2

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Kasidit Samrej

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

9 matches with market odds since 2026-08-11.

Enzo Aguiard

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 5W–2L · 71.4%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Kasidit Samrej Enzo Aguiard

1st Serve In %

56.4%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

67.0%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

41.9%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.6%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.1%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.33

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.46

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

62.1%

61.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

76.1%

75.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.3%

55.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.1%

26.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.6%

48.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.66

0.67

Double Faults per Service Game

0.51

0.12

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Kasidit Samrej Enzo Aguiard

Break Points Saved %

48.4%

—

Break Points Converted %

46.2%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

78.3%

52.8%

Break Points Converted %

39.5%

32.6%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Kasidit Samrej 1 – 0 Enzo Aguiard

Hard Zhangjiagang challenger · 2026-09-04

QF

Kasidit Samrej #486

Enzo Aguiard #513

6-4 7-6

6 Aces 11

4 Double Faults 2

72 Service Points 68

48 First Serve In 42

40 First Serve Won 33

13 Second Serve Won 14

6 Break Points Saved 2

6 Break Points Faced 3

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.0 Average Odds 1.8

Kasidit Samrej vs Enzo Aguiard — Prediction