ATP tennis predict — Kasidit Samrej vs Chun Hsin Tseng

Challenger Hard Zhangjiagang challenger · SF 07:30

Predicted probability

Kasidit Samrej

Thailand

41.38%

Chun Hsin Tseng

Chinese Taipei

58.62%

Average Odds

4.00 / 1.22

Market probability

23.37% / 76.63%

Why This Prediction?

Chun Hsin Tseng is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1677 vs 1600), a stronger serve (66.8% vs 64.1% of service points won) and fewer double faults per game (0.15 vs 0.25).

Player Comparison

1600.2 Elo 1677.2

1599.5 Elo (surface) 1553.9

44 Wins (Challenger) 191

44 Wins (surface) 60

10 Last 15 form 10

0 Head-to-head wins 1

1.046 Dominance ratio 1.298

486 Rank 221

25.6 Age 25.1

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Kasidit Samrej

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

9 matches with market odds since 2026-08-11.

Chun Hsin Tseng

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 9W–3L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

24 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Kasidit Samrej Chun Hsin Tseng

1st Serve In %

56.4%

62.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.0%

65.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

41.9%

47.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.6%

23.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.1%

51.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.33

0.22

Double Faults per Service Game

0.46

0.32

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

62.1%

60.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

76.1%

73.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.3%

55.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.1%

33.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.6%

55.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.66

0.29

Double Faults per Service Game

0.51

0.08

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Kasidit Samrej Chun Hsin Tseng

Break Points Saved %

48.4%

50.0%

Break Points Converted %

46.2%

27.8%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

78.3%

59.6%

Break Points Converted %

39.5%

39.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Kasidit Samrej 0 – 1 Chun Hsin Tseng

Hard Zhangjiagang challenger · 2026-09-05

SF

Kasidit Samrej #486

Chun Hsin Tseng #221

6-3 7-6

9 Aces 6

5 Double Faults 0

96 Service Points 73

63 First Serve In 42

46 First Serve Won 30

14 Second Serve Won 13

9 Break Points Saved 7

10 Break Points Faced 9

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

4 Average Odds 1.2

Hard Bangkok CH · 2020-01-13

R64

Chun Hsin Tseng #304

Kasidit Samrej #1046

6-1 6-2

2 Aces 0

1 Double Faults 4

44 Service Points 43

21 First Serve In 27

16 First Serve Won 16

16 Second Serve Won 4

0 Break Points Saved 1

0 Break Points Faced 5

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Kasidit Samrej vs Chun Hsin Tseng — Prediction