ATP tennis predict — Karl Poling vs Nikola Slavik

Challenger Hard Rennes challenger · qualification - 1. round 10:00

Predicted probability

Karl Poling

USA

91.53%

Nikola Slavik

Czech Republic

8.47%

Average Odds

1.44 / 2.64

Market probability

64.71% / 35.29%

Why This Prediction?

Karl Poling is the favorite because he has more career match wins (33 vs 0), better recent form (7 wins in his last 15 matches vs 0) and more wins on hard courts (1 vs 0).

Player Comparison

1496.8 Elo 1500

1460.5 Elo (surface) 1500

33 Wins (Challenger) 0

23 Wins (surface) 0

7 Last 15 form 0

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.929 Dominance ratio 0.929

459 Rank -

27.1 Age 33.3

left Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Karl Poling

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–5L · 28.6%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 3W–3L · 50.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Nikola Slavik

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

No market odds recorded for this player yet.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Karl Poling Nikola Slavik

1st Serve In %

65.0%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

66.0%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.1%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

19.4%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

32.4%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.16

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.38

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

65.3%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

64.7%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.2%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.7%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

44.9%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.40

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.20

—

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Karl Poling Nikola Slavik

Break Points Saved %

67.9%

—

Break Points Converted %

57.1%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

60.7%

—

Break Points Converted %

37.5%

—

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Karl Poling and Nikola Slavik have never played each other.

Karl Poling vs Nikola Slavik — Prediction