ATP tennis predict — Karl Poling vs Kokoro Isomura

Challenger Hard Vancouver challenger · qualification - 1. round

Predicted probability

Karl Poling

USA

54.24%

Kokoro Isomura

Japan

45.76%

Average Odds

1.46 / 2.58

Market probability

63.86% / 36.14%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1552.0 Elo 1521.7

1561.3 Elo (surface) 1527.7

32 Wins (Challenger) 31

22 Wins (surface) 31

9 Last 15 form 6

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.063 Dominance ratio 0.789

491 Rank 562

27.0 Age 23.5

left Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Karl Poling

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–5L · 28.6%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 3W–3L · 50.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Kokoro Isomura

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–4L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

9 matches with market odds since 2026-07-12.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Karl Poling Kokoro Isomura

1st Serve In %

65.0%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

66.0%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.1%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

19.4%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

32.4%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.16

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.38

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

65.3%

59.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

64.7%

70.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.2%

40.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.7%

28.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

44.9%

52.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.40

Double Faults per Service Game

0.20

0.66

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Karl Poling Kokoro Isomura

Break Points Saved %

67.9%

—

Break Points Converted %

57.1%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

60.7%

58.9%

Break Points Converted %

37.5%

34.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Karl Poling 0 – 0 Kokoro Isomura

Hard Vancouver challenger · 2026-07-28

qualification - 1. round

Karl Poling #491

Kokoro Isomura #562

6-3 6-4

2 Aces 3

4 Double Faults 4

79 Service Points 71

50 First Serve In 47

31 First Serve Won 37

14 Second Serve Won 12

11 Break Points Saved 6

13 Break Points Faced 6

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.5 Average Odds 2.6

Karl Poling vs Kokoro Isomura — Prediction