ATP tennis predict — Karen Khachanov vs Terence Atmane

ATP Hard Montreal · 2. round 21:30

Predicted probability

Karen Khachanov

Russia

67.70%

Terence Atmane

France

32.30%

Average Odds

1.72 / 2.12

Market probability

55.21% / 44.79%

Why This Prediction?

Karen Khachanov is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1794 vs 1619), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1796 vs 1668) and a stronger return game (38.5% vs 28.0% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1793.7 Elo 1618.8

1795.8 Elo (surface) 1667.8

342 Wins 54

217 Wins (surface) 44

9 Last 15 form 6

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.140 Dominance ratio 0.856

39 Rank 46

30.2 Age 24.6

right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Karen Khachanov

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–6L · 40.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Terence Atmane

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

13 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Karen Khachanov Terence Atmane

1st Serve In %

57.3%

59.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.3%

76.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.0%

50.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

22.9%

20.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.2%

43.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.55

0.48

Double Faults per Service Game

0.30

0.27

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

54.6%

62.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.5%

71.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.0%

52.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.9%

26.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.3%

43.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.59

0.71

Double Faults per Service Game

0.29

0.25

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Karen Khachanov Terence Atmane

Break Points Saved %

64.8%

64.3%

Break Points Converted %

42.6%

44.2%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

68.1%

67.1%

Break Points Converted %

33.7%

32.1%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Karen Khachanov 0 – 0 Terence Atmane

Hard Montreal · 2026-08-06

2. round

Terence Atmane #46

Karen Khachanov #39

6-4 7-6

5 Aces 7

1 Double Faults 3

72 Service Points 73

37 First Serve In 48

30 First Serve Won 38

16 Second Serve Won 13

5 Break Points Saved 2

7 Break Points Faced 3

0 Winners 0

0 Unforced Errors 0

2.1 Average Odds 1.7

Karen Khachanov vs Terence Atmane — Prediction