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Karan Singh vs Koki Matsuda — Prediction

Challenger Hard Samsun challenger · 1. round

Predicted probability

Karan Singh

India

36.48%

Koki Matsuda

Japan

63.52%

Average Odds

2.51  /  1.49

Market probability

37.25%  /  62.75%

Why This Prediction?

Koki Matsuda is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1424 vs 1368), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1426 vs 1340) and a stronger serve (63.9% vs 60.6% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1367.6 Elo 1424.0
1339.6 Elo (surface) 1425.6
14 Wins (Challenger) 14
10 Wins (surface) 14
4 Last 15 form 8
0 Head-to-head wins 0
0.892 Dominance ratio 1.007
353 Rank 536
23.1 Age 25.7
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Karan Singh

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–1L · 0.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

4 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Koki Matsuda

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–2L · 71.4%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–1L · 75.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–4L · 20.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-07-19.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Karan Singh Koki Matsuda

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

1st Serve In %

55.5%
66.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

74.1%
73.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.3%
46.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.6%
27.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

43.6%
53.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.45
0.61

Double Faults per Service Game

0.37
0.20

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Karan Singh Koki Matsuda

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

Break Points Saved %

70.5%
68.2%

Break Points Converted %

33.3%
26.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Karan Singh 00 Koki Matsuda

Hard Samsun challenger · 2026-07-27

1. round

Koki Matsuda #514

Karan Singh #554

6-4 6-4
3 Aces 4
3 Double Faults 2
71 Service Points 70
46 First Serve In 39
29 First Serve Won 28
17 Second Serve Won 18
5 Break Points Saved 8
7 Break Points Faced 8
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
1.5 Average Odds 2.5

Karan Singh — Last 10

L W L L L L L W W L

Koki Matsuda — Last 10

L L W L W W W L L W