ATP tennis predict — Kamil Majchrzak vs Hamad Medjedovic

Grand Slam Hard US Open · 1. round 17:00

Predicted probability

Kamil Majchrzak

Poland

43.90%

Hamad Medjedovic

Serbia

56.10%

Average Odds

1.80 / 2.02

Market probability

52.88% / 47.12%

Why This Prediction?

Hamad Medjedovic is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1703 vs 1659), a stronger return game (45.8% vs 36.9% of return points won) and a higher Elo rating (1743 vs 1742).

Player Comparison

1742.2 Elo 1742.5

1659.4 Elo (surface) 1702.9

106 Wins 83

66 Wins (surface) 37

7 Last 15 form 9

1 Head-to-head wins 2

1.103 Dominance ratio 1.034

72 Rank 78

30.6 Age 23.1

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Kamil Majchrzak

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–3L · 62.5%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Hamad Medjedovic

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

6 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Kamil Majchrzak Hamad Medjedovic

1st Serve In %

59.0%

63.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

75.0%

76.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

54.9%

51.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.7%

24.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.5%

49.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.74

0.82

Double Faults per Service Game

0.29

0.26

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

64.7%

65.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.0%

71.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.0%

51.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.9%

36.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.8%

56.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.50

0.43

Double Faults per Service Game

0.10

0.23

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Kamil Majchrzak Hamad Medjedovic

Break Points Saved %

58.8%

64.2%

Break Points Converted %

31.3%

26.4%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

68.9%

62.0%

Break Points Converted %

42.9%

48.8%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Kamil Majchrzak 1 – 2 Hamad Medjedovic

Hard US Open · 2026-08-30

1. round

Kamil Majchrzak #73

Hamad Medjedovic #79

6-3 6-3 6-3

13 Aces 7

4 Double Faults 6

70 Service Points 78

49 First Serve In 50

41 First Serve Won 34

17 Second Serve Won 16

2 Break Points Saved 6

2 Break Points Faced 10

28 Winners 25

15 Unforced Errors 38

1.8 Average Odds 2.0

Clay Roland Garros · 2025-05-26

R128

Hamad Medjedovic #74

Kamil Majchrzak #96

6-3 6-3 7-6(2)

13 Aces 6

5 Double Faults 3

99 Service Points 90

67 First Serve In 57

48 First Serve Won 34

15 Second Serve Won 15

3 Break Points Saved 4

6 Break Points Faced 10

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Hard Busan CH · 2022-10-17

R16

Kamil Majchrzak #104

Hamad Medjedovic #259

7-6(1) 6-4

4 Aces 6

5 Double Faults 4

77 Service Points 86

37 First Serve In 49

29 First Serve Won 34

22 Second Serve Won 17

3 Break Points Saved 6

4 Break Points Faced 8

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Hard Grodzisk Mazowiecki CH · 2022-08-15

R32

Hamad Medjedovic #262

Kamil Majchrzak #89

6-4 6-2

5 Aces 4

2 Double Faults 0

53 Service Points 53

37 First Serve In 26

29 First Serve Won 15

9 Second Serve Won 14

5 Break Points Saved 2

6 Break Points Faced 6

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Kamil Majchrzak vs Hamad Medjedovic — Prediction

Why This Prediction?

Player Comparison

Performance vs. the Odds

Serve & Return

Break Point Performance

Head-to-Head

Kamil Majchrzak — Last 10

Hamad Medjedovic — Last 10