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Kamil Majchrzak vs Benjamin Bonzi — Prediction

ATP Hard Winston Salem · 1. round 20:00

Predicted probability

Kamil Majchrzak

Poland

56.54%

Benjamin Bonzi

France

43.46%

Average Odds

1.60  /  2.31

Market probability

59.08%  /  40.92%

Why This Prediction?

Kamil Majchrzak is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1678 vs 1541), a stronger serve (64.6% vs 61.8% of service points won) and more aces per game (0.32 vs 0.27).

Player Comparison

1751.8 Elo 1771.4
1678.0 Elo (surface) 1541.4
106 Wins 99
66 Wins (surface) 59
8 Last 15 form 8
1 Head-to-head wins 1
1.048 Dominance ratio 1.177
68 Rank 100
30.6 Age 30.2
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Kamil Majchrzak

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–1L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–3L · 62.5%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Benjamin Bonzi

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–3L · 57.1%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–3L · 50.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–1L · 80.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

23 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Kamil Majchrzak Benjamin Bonzi

1st Serve In %

59.0%
57.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

75.0%
72.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

54.9%
48.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.7%
24.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.5%
53.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.74
0.44

Double Faults per Service Game

0.29
0.23

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

64.7%
63.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.0%
71.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.0%
49.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.9%
28.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.8%
49.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.50
0.41

Double Faults per Service Game

0.10
0.31

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Kamil Majchrzak Benjamin Bonzi

Break Points Saved %

58.8%
55.4%

Break Points Converted %

31.3%
38.8%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

68.9%
63.3%

Break Points Converted %

42.9%
37.5%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Kamil Majchrzak 11 Benjamin Bonzi

Hard Winston Salem · 2026-08-24
6-4 7-6
6 Aces 4
3 Double Faults 9
74 Service Points 77
40 First Serve In 40
32 First Serve Won 31
15 Second Serve Won 18
3 Break Points Saved 2
6 Break Points Faced 4
27 Winners 26
30 Unforced Errors 39
2.3 Average Odds 1.6
Hard Marseille · 2022-02-14
7-6(1) 6-4
10 Aces 5
1 Double Faults 1
82 Service Points 70
52 First Serve In 41
41 First Serve Won 27
14 Second Serve Won 16
6 Break Points Saved 4
7 Break Points Faced 6
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -
Grass Nottingham 2 CH · 2021-06-14
4 Aces 1
1 Double Faults 1
62 Service Points 47
43 First Serve In 29
35 First Serve Won 19
7 Second Serve Won 7
3 Break Points Saved 2
3 Break Points Faced 5
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -

Kamil Majchrzak — Last 10

L W L L L L W L W L

Benjamin Bonzi — Last 10

L W W L W W W W L W