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Kalin Ivanovski vs Alejandro Moro Canas — Prediction

Challenger Clay Palermo challenger · 1. round 13:00

Predicted probability

Kalin Ivanovski

North Macedonia

31.55%

Average Odds

3.30  /  1.30

Market probability

28.26%  /  71.74%

Why This Prediction?

Alejandro Moro Canas is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1724 vs 1588), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1698 vs 1569) and more wins on clay courts (7 vs 0).

Player Comparison

1588.2 Elo 1724.0
1568.9 Elo (surface) 1697.6
20 Wins (Challenger) 124
10 Wins (surface) 65
6 Last 15 form 9
0 Head-to-head wins 0
1.039 Dominance ratio 1.129
744 Rank 233
22.4 Age 25.8
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Kalin Ivanovski

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–0L · 100.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

2 matches with market odds since 2026-10-04.

Alejandro Moro Canas

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–1L · 75.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 9W–5L · 64.3%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–3L · 50.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

27 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Kalin Ivanovski Alejandro Moro Canas

1st Serve In %

—
66.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

—
65.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—
53.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—
28.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—
44.8%

Aces per Service Game

—
0.30

Double Faults per Service Game

—
0.27

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

56.9%
64.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

75.3%
64.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.3%
40.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.3%
37.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

45.3%
55.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.47
0.32

Double Faults per Service Game

0.30
0.16

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Kalin Ivanovski Alejandro Moro Canas

Break Points Saved %

—
59.7%

Break Points Converted %

—
34.4%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

62.1%
59.3%

Break Points Converted %

30.5%
43.5%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Kalin Ivanovski and Alejandro Moro Canas have never played each other.

Kalin Ivanovski — Last 10

W W W L W W L L L W

Alejandro Moro Canas — Last 10

L W W W W L W L W W