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Kaito Uesugi vs Yuquan Jin — Prediction

Challenger Hard Jinan challenger · qualification - 1. round 12:10

Predicted probability

Kaito Uesugi

Japan

66.00%

Yuquan Jin

China

34.00%

Average Odds

1.41  /  2.71

Market probability

65.78%  /  34.22%

Why This Prediction?

Kaito Uesugi is the favorite because he has more career match wins (25 vs 0), better recent form (4 wins in his last 15 matches vs 0) and a stronger return game (37.7% vs 33.9% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1382.1 Elo 1460.9
1356.3 Elo (surface) 1456.5
25 Wins (Challenger) 0
24 Wins (surface) 0
4 Last 15 form 0
0 Head-to-head wins 0
0.952 Dominance ratio 0.870
1521 Rank 1478
31.4 Age 25.8
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Kaito Uesugi

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

4 matches with market odds since 2026-06-22.

Yuquan Jin

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

No market odds recorded for this player yet.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Kaito Uesugi Yuquan Jin

1st Serve In %

58.5%
—

1st Serve Points Won %

67.7%
—

2nd Serve Points Won %

40.9%
—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

23.1%
—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

57.1%
—

Aces per Service Game

0.33
—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.44
—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

62.2%
66.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

65.8%
74.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

44.2%
35.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.7%
28.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.6%
42.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.30
0.44

Double Faults per Service Game

0.39
0.44

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Kaito Uesugi Yuquan Jin

Break Points Saved %

42.9%
—

Break Points Converted %

20.0%
—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

55.6%
62.5%

Break Points Converted %

34.3%
0.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Kaito Uesugi and Yuquan Jin have never played each other.

Kaito Uesugi — Last 10

L L W L L W L L L L

Yuquan Jin — Last 1

L