ATP tennis predict — Kaito Uesugi vs Ji Sung Nam

Challenger Hard Shanghai challenger · qualification - round of 16 10:30

Predicted probability

Kaito Uesugi

Japan

28.16%

Ji Sung Nam

South Korea

71.84%

Average Odds

2.60 / 1.45

Market probability

35.80% / 64.20%

Why This Prediction?

Ji Sung Nam is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1486 vs 1387), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1526 vs 1385) and more wins on hard courts (3 vs 0).

Player Comparison

1387.5 Elo 1486.2

1384.6 Elo (surface) 1526.3

25 Wins (Challenger) 90

24 Wins (surface) 84

4 Last 15 form 6

0 Head-to-head wins 1

0.921 Dominance ratio 0.939

1394 Rank 1038

31.3 Age 33.1

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Kaito Uesugi

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

4 matches with market odds since 2026-06-22.

Ji Sung Nam

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

8 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Kaito Uesugi Ji Sung Nam

1st Serve In %

58.5%

59.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.7%

66.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

40.9%

48.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

23.1%

32.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

57.1%

52.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.33

0.39

Double Faults per Service Game

0.44

0.32

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

62.2%

59.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

65.8%

72.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

44.2%

46.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.7%

29.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.6%

44.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.30

0.59

Double Faults per Service Game

0.39

0.24

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Kaito Uesugi Ji Sung Nam

Break Points Saved %

42.9%

63.0%

Break Points Converted %

20.0%

52.5%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

55.6%

54.0%

Break Points Converted %

34.3%

42.1%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Kaito Uesugi 0 – 1 Ji Sung Nam

Hard Shanghai challenger · 2026-09-07

qualification - round of 16

Ji Sung Nam #1038

Kaito Uesugi #1394

6-2 7-5

1 Aces 2

2 Double Faults 2

62 Service Points 61

42 First Serve In 49

27 First Serve Won 33

6 Second Serve Won 5

1 Break Points Saved 3

6 Break Points Faced 5

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.4 Average Odds 2.6

Hard Taipei CH · 2024-05-13

Q2

Ji Sung Nam #714

Kaito Uesugi #1404

4-6 6-0 6-2

4 Aces 3

2 Double Faults 1

72 Service Points 88

41 First Serve In 54

27 First Serve Won 27

19 Second Serve Won 14

8 Break Points Saved 8

11 Break Points Faced 15

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Kaito Uesugi vs Ji Sung Nam — Prediction