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Kaichi Uchida vs Masamichi Imamura — Prediction

Challenger Hard Wuning 3 challenger · 1. round 04:05

Predicted probability

Kaichi Uchida

Japan

41.25%

Masamichi Imamura

Japan

58.75%

Average Odds

2.43  /  1.51

Market probability

38.32%  /  61.68%

Why This Prediction?

Masamichi Imamura is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1527 vs 1469), a higher Elo rating (1523 vs 1454) and fewer double faults per game (0.06 vs 0.16).

Player Comparison

1454.3 Elo 1523.0
1468.6 Elo (surface) 1526.7
165 Wins (Challenger) 49
136 Wins (surface) 49
1 Last 15 form 6
0 Head-to-head wins 0
0.791 Dominance ratio 0.878
386 Rank 412
32.1 Age 27.9
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Kaichi Uchida

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–2L · 0.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–4L · 0.0%

8 matches with market odds since 2026-06-22.

Masamichi Imamura

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–1L · 80.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–7L · 12.5%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

18 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Kaichi Uchida Masamichi Imamura

1st Serve In %

62.3%
—

1st Serve Points Won %

71.1%
—

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.9%
—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.2%
—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.7%
—

Aces per Service Game

0.56
0.11

Double Faults per Service Game

0.19
0.00

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

55.4%
58.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

65.3%
67.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.9%
51.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.0%
29.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

45.7%
52.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.37
0.43

Double Faults per Service Game

0.30
0.11

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Kaichi Uchida Masamichi Imamura

Break Points Saved %

63.2%
—

Break Points Converted %

33.9%
37.5%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

46.8%
57.4%

Break Points Converted %

34.0%
52.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Kaichi Uchida and Masamichi Imamura have never played each other.

Kaichi Uchida — Last 10

L L L L L L L L L L

Masamichi Imamura — Last 10

L L L L L W W L W W