ATP tennis predict — Kai Wehnelt vs Pierluigi Basile

Challenger Clay Bari challenger · qualification - 1. round 11:30

Predicted probability

Kai Wehnelt

Germany

32.57%

Pierluigi Basile

Italy

67.43%

Average Odds

3.06 / 1.31

Market probability

29.98% / 70.02%

Why This Prediction?

Pierluigi Basile is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1546 vs 1533), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1555 vs 1549) and a stronger return game (38.9% vs 32.4% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1532.9 Elo 1545.5

1548.5 Elo (surface) 1554.9

33 Wins (Challenger) 16

23 Wins (surface) 15

9 Last 15 form 7

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.906 Dominance ratio 1.060

611 Rank 547

30.8 Age 19.7

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Kai Wehnelt

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 7W–1L · 87.5%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–4L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-06-28.

Pierluigi Basile

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–3L · 57.1%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

11 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Kai Wehnelt Pierluigi Basile

1st Serve In %

—

63.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

—

67.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—

47.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—

22.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—

36.5%

Aces per Service Game

—

0.56

Double Faults per Service Game

—

0.37

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

62.2%

57.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

73.2%

69.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.0%

47.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

23.6%

33.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

45.9%

52.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.64

0.42

Double Faults per Service Game

0.39

0.36

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Kai Wehnelt Pierluigi Basile

Break Points Saved %

—

60.0%

Break Points Converted %

—

21.4%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

61.5%

60.9%

Break Points Converted %

39.2%

39.8%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Kai Wehnelt and Pierluigi Basile have never played each other.

Kai Wehnelt vs Pierluigi Basile — Prediction