ATP tennis predict — Kai Wehnelt vs Nick Hardt

Challenger Clay Augsburg challenger · 1. round 12:00

Predicted probability

Kai Wehnelt

Germany

33.08%

Nick Hardt

Dominican Rep.

66.92%

Average Odds

2.41 / 1.53

Market probability

38.83% / 61.17%

Why This Prediction?

Nick Hardt is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1599 vs 1513), more wins on clay courts (5 vs 0) and a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1617 vs 1589).

Player Comparison

1513.4 Elo 1598.7

1589.3 Elo (surface) 1617.0

30 Wins (Challenger) 86

20 Wins (surface) 64

9 Last 15 form 10

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.931 Dominance ratio 1.042

594 Rank 279

30.7 Age 25.9

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Kai Wehnelt

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 7W–1L · 87.5%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–4L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-06-28.

Nick Hardt

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

11 matches with market odds since 2026-06-12.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Kai Wehnelt Nick Hardt

1st Serve In %

—

66.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

—

59.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—

44.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—

35.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—

52.3%

Aces per Service Game

—

0.09

Double Faults per Service Game

—

0.37

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

62.2%

60.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

73.2%

66.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.0%

48.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

23.6%

33.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

45.9%

50.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.64

0.19

Double Faults per Service Game

0.39

0.46

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Kai Wehnelt Nick Hardt

Break Points Saved %

—

42.6%

Break Points Converted %

—

35.2%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

61.5%

56.5%

Break Points Converted %

39.2%

42.4%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Kai Wehnelt 0 – 0 Nick Hardt

Clay Augsburg challenger · 2026-08-25

1. round

Kai Wehnelt #594

Nick Hardt #279

2-6 6-3 6-2

10 Aces 2

2 Double Faults 5

86 Service Points 70

52 First Serve In 52

40 First Serve Won 35

17 Second Serve Won 8

4 Break Points Saved 2

6 Break Points Faced 5

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.4 Average Odds 1.5

Kai Wehnelt vs Nick Hardt — Prediction