ATP tennis predict — Kai Wehnelt vs Lorenzo Angelini

Challenger Clay Catania challenger · qualification - 1. round 16:30

Predicted probability

Kai Wehnelt

Germany

64.65%

Lorenzo Angelini

Italy

35.35%

Average Odds

1.63 / 2.19

Market probability

57.33% / 42.67%

Why This Prediction?

Kai Wehnelt is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1512 vs 1376), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1523 vs 1393) and a stronger serve (64.2% vs 51.6% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1511.9 Elo 1376.1

1523.3 Elo (surface) 1392.5

33 Wins (Challenger) 5

23 Wins (surface) 5

8 Last 15 form 5

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.906 Dominance ratio 0.899

613 Rank 556

30.9 Age 20.6

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Kai Wehnelt

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 7W–1L · 87.5%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–5L · 28.6%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

18 matches with market odds since 2026-06-28.

Lorenzo Angelini

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–4L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%

13 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Kai Wehnelt Lorenzo Angelini

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

1st Serve In %

60.8%

63.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

74.4%

58.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

54.2%

48.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

23.4%

37.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

43.4%

50.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.61

0.11

Double Faults per Service Game

0.45

0.31

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Kai Wehnelt Lorenzo Angelini

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

Break Points Saved %

58.0%

49.4%

Break Points Converted %

49.1%

40.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Kai Wehnelt and Lorenzo Angelini have never played each other.

Kai Wehnelt vs Lorenzo Angelini — Prediction