ATP tennis predict — Kai Wehnelt vs Daniel Siniakov

Challenger Clay Augsburg challenger · qualification - 1. round 10:30

Predicted probability

Kai Wehnelt

Germany

57.90%

Daniel Siniakov

Czech Republic

42.10%

Average Odds

2.25 / 1.58

Market probability

41.25% / 58.75%

Why This Prediction?

Kai Wehnelt is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1471 vs 1362), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1549 vs 1380) and more career match wins (28 vs 7).

Player Comparison

1471.0 Elo 1361.9

1549.3 Elo (surface) 1379.6

28 Wins (Challenger) 7

18 Wins (surface) 7

9 Last 15 form 5

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.886 Dominance ratio 1.089

625 Rank 467

30.7 Age 23.6

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Kai Wehnelt

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 7W–1L · 87.5%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–4L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-06-28.

Daniel Siniakov

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

11 matches with market odds since 2026-05-31.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Kai Wehnelt Daniel Siniakov

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

1st Serve In %

62.2%

65.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

73.2%

67.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.0%

50.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

23.6%

34.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

45.9%

50.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.64

0.26

Double Faults per Service Game

0.39

0.26

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Kai Wehnelt Daniel Siniakov

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

Break Points Saved %

61.5%

55.2%

Break Points Converted %

39.2%

41.8%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Kai Wehnelt 0 – 0 Daniel Siniakov

Clay Augsburg challenger · 2026-08-23

qualification - 1. round

Kai Wehnelt #625

Daniel Siniakov #467

7-6 7-6

14 Aces 7

3 Double Faults 2

91 Service Points 78

55 First Serve In 64

42 First Serve Won 48

19 Second Serve Won 5

5 Break Points Saved 3

7 Break Points Faced 5

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.2 Average Odds 1.6

Kai Wehnelt vs Daniel Siniakov — Prediction