ATP tennis predict — Justin Boulais vs Alexandre Reco

Challenger Hard Mouilleron-Le-Captif challenger · qualification - 1. round 10:00

Predicted probability

Justin Boulais

Canada

68.10%

Alexandre Reco

France

31.90%

Average Odds

1.41 / 2.64

Market probability

65.19% / 34.81%

Why This Prediction?

Justin Boulais is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1557 vs 1472), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1546 vs 1494) and more career match wins (48 vs 5).

Player Comparison

1557.2 Elo 1471.9

1546.1 Elo (surface) 1493.5

48 Wins (Challenger) 5

48 Wins (surface) 5

5 Last 15 form 5

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.041 Dominance ratio 1.038

418 Rank 963

24.9 Age 27.4

left Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Justin Boulais

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–6L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

20 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Alexandre Reco

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

No market odds recorded for this player yet.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Justin Boulais Alexandre Reco

1st Serve In %

56.4%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

60.0%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.1%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

21.9%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

43.6%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.33

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.56

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.2%

62.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.8%

68.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.3%

52.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

34.2%

31.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.6%

52.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.26

0.38

Double Faults per Service Game

0.42

0.11

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Justin Boulais Alexandre Reco

Break Points Saved %

57.7%

—

Break Points Converted %

16.7%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

54.4%

53.4%

Break Points Converted %

46.8%

44.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Justin Boulais and Alexandre Reco have never played each other.

Justin Boulais vs Alexandre Reco — Prediction