ATP tennis predict — Jurij Rodionov vs Vitaliy Sachko

ATP Clay Kitzbühel · qualification - quarterfinal

Predicted probability

Jurij Rodionov

Austria

41.57%

Vitaliy Sachko

Ukraine

58.43%

Average Odds

1.56 / 2.34

Market probability

60.00% / 40.00%

Why This Prediction?

Vitaliy Sachko is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1700 vs 1535), a higher Elo rating (1676 vs 1648) and a stronger return game (40.4% vs 38.2% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1648.4 Elo 1676.2

1534.7 Elo (surface) 1700.2

63 Wins 23

28 Wins (surface) 10

7 Last 15 form 8

1 Head-to-head wins 0

0.959 Dominance ratio 0.802

143 Rank 195

27.2 Age 29.0

left Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Jurij Rodionov

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–1L · 83.3%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–4L · 60.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

25 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Vitaliy Sachko

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 8W–1L · 88.9%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–5L · 28.6%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

20 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Jurij Rodionov Vitaliy Sachko

1st Serve In %

59.4%

62.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.6%

66.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.8%

43.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.5%

32.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

43.2%

49.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.61

0.45

Double Faults per Service Game

0.26

0.23

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.6%

63.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.4%

61.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.8%

53.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.3%

31.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.5%

48.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.43

0.31

Double Faults per Service Game

0.24

0.27

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Jurij Rodionov Vitaliy Sachko

Break Points Saved %

64.9%

57.1%

Break Points Converted %

37.3%

43.1%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

59.4%

67.9%

Break Points Converted %

31.7%

43.8%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Jurij Rodionov 1 – 0 Vitaliy Sachko

Clay Kitzbühel · 2026-07-19

qualification - quarterfinal

Jurij Rodionov #145

Vitaliy Sachko #195

6-4 7-6

13 Aces 5

4 Double Faults 2

80 Service Points 81

40 First Serve In 47

32 First Serve Won 27

17 Second Serve Won 20

3 Break Points Saved 6

5 Break Points Faced 9

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.6 Average Odds 2.3

Hard Thionville CH · 2025-03-03

R32

Jurij Rodionov #209

Vitaliy Sachko #384

6-2 6-2

5 Aces 2

2 Double Faults 4

53 Service Points 60

34 First Serve In 39

27 First Serve Won 21

10 Second Serve Won 9

1 Break Points Saved 5

1 Break Points Faced 9

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Jurij Rodionov vs Vitaliy Sachko — Prediction