ATP tennis predict — Juan Pablo Varillas vs Stefan Latinovic

Challenger Clay San Marino challenger · qualification - 1. round

Predicted probability

Juan Pablo Varillas

Peru

76.27%

Stefan Latinovic

Serbia

23.73%

Average Odds

1.10 / 5.99

Market probability

84.49% / 15.51%

Why This Prediction?

Juan Pablo Varillas is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1642 vs 1477), a higher Elo rating (1624 vs 1476) and more wins on clay courts (209 vs 4).

Player Comparison

1623.9 Elo 1476.2

1642.0 Elo (surface) 1477.5

212 Wins (Challenger) 5

209 Wins (surface) 4

8 Last 15 form 4

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.988 Dominance ratio 0.813

275 Rank 1315

30.8 Age 26.7

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Juan Pablo Varillas

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 6W–4L · 60.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

24 matches with market odds since 2026-06-29.

Stefan Latinovic

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

5 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Juan Pablo Varillas Stefan Latinovic

1st Serve In %

56.6%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

69.5%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.7%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.6%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.0%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.28

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.16

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

57.7%

56.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.9%

75.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.5%

45.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.0%

25.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

55.6%

43.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.47

0.55

Double Faults per Service Game

0.19

0.48

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Juan Pablo Varillas Stefan Latinovic

Break Points Saved %

69.0%

—

Break Points Converted %

50.0%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

54.1%

43.2%

Break Points Converted %

43.8%

29.2%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Juan Pablo Varillas 0 – 0 Stefan Latinovic

Clay San Marino challenger · 2026-07-26

qualification - 1. round

Juan Pablo Varillas #148

Stefan Latinovic #1137

7-6 6-3

3 Aces 5

2 Double Faults 7

86 Service Points 58

51 First Serve In 37

34 First Serve Won 32

24 Second Serve Won 8

6 Break Points Saved 1

7 Break Points Faced 3

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.1 Average Odds 6.0

Juan Pablo Varillas vs Stefan Latinovic — Prediction