ATP tennis predict — Juan Pablo Varillas vs Gabi Adrian Boitan

Challenger Clay Zug challenger · qualification - 1. round

Predicted probability

Juan Pablo Varillas

Peru

68.42%

Gabi Adrian Boitan

Romania

31.58%

Average Odds

1.42 / 2.67

Market probability

65.28% / 34.72%

Why This Prediction?

Juan Pablo Varillas is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1630 vs 1501), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1651 vs 1524) and fewer double faults per game (0.11 vs 0.26).

Player Comparison

1629.8 Elo 1500.6

1650.9 Elo (surface) 1524.3

211 Wins (Challenger) 46

208 Wins (surface) 38

8 Last 15 form 6

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.028 Dominance ratio 1.037

279 Rank 434

30.8 Age 27.0

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Juan Pablo Varillas

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 6W–4L · 60.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

24 matches with market odds since 2026-06-29.

Gabi Adrian Boitan

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–6L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

14 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Juan Pablo Varillas Gabi Adrian Boitan

1st Serve In %

56.6%

65.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.5%

68.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.7%

44.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.6%

23.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.0%

43.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.28

0.45

Double Faults per Service Game

0.16

0.34

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

57.7%

67.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.9%

73.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.5%

53.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.0%

26.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

55.6%

56.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.47

0.52

Double Faults per Service Game

0.19

0.30

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Juan Pablo Varillas Gabi Adrian Boitan

Break Points Saved %

69.0%

60.7%

Break Points Converted %

50.0%

40.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

54.1%

75.0%

Break Points Converted %

43.8%

41.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Juan Pablo Varillas 0 – 0 Gabi Adrian Boitan

Clay Zug challenger · 2026-07-19

qualification - 1. round

Juan Pablo Varillas #275

Gabi Adrian Boitan #428

6-4 6-7 6-3

15 Aces 7

0 Double Faults 6

110 Service Points 100

75 First Serve In 65

54 First Serve Won 47

21 Second Serve Won 16

2 Break Points Saved 5

3 Break Points Faced 8

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.4 Average Odds 2.7

Juan Pablo Varillas vs Gabi Adrian Boitan — Prediction