ATP tennis predict — Juan Pablo Ficovich vs Miguel Tobon

Challenger Hard Kingston 2 challenger · R16 20:00

Predicted probability

Juan Pablo Ficovich

Argentina

41.77%

Miguel Tobon

Colombia

58.23%

Average Odds

1.82 / 1.83

Market probability

50.14% / 49.86%

Why This Prediction?

Miguel Tobon is the favorite because he has a stronger serve (65.8% vs 59.5% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1498.6 Elo 1473.2

1499.7 Elo (surface) 1439.3

190 Wins (Challenger) 56

48 Wins (surface) 18

5 Last 15 form 7

1 Head-to-head wins 1

0.920 Dominance ratio 0.830

380 Rank -

29.6 Age 20.2

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Juan Pablo Ficovich

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–6L · 14.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

13 matches with market odds since 2026-06-06.

Miguel Tobon

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–4L · 42.9%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

18 matches with market odds since 2026-05-31.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Juan Pablo Ficovich Miguel Tobon

1st Serve In %

60.6%

53.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

63.9%

73.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

44.9%

48.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

24.4%

28.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.3%

54.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.41

0.37

Double Faults per Service Game

0.26

0.42

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

64.9%

58.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

64.9%

68.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.9%

53.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.8%

28.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.0%

50.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.25

0.31

Double Faults per Service Game

0.22

0.23

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Juan Pablo Ficovich Miguel Tobon

Break Points Saved %

50.0%

44.4%

Break Points Converted %

33.3%

37.9%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

52.0%

54.4%

Break Points Converted %

40.3%

45.1%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Juan Pablo Ficovich 1 – 1 Miguel Tobon

Hard Kingston 2 challenger · 2026-08-26

R16

Miguel Tobon #-

Juan Pablo Ficovich #380

6-3 6-1

0 Aces 1

1 Double Faults 3

48 Service Points 50

23 First Serve In 27

11 First Serve Won 22

12 Second Serve Won 14

3 Break Points Saved 2

7 Break Points Faced 2

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.8 Average Odds 1.8

Hard Cuernavaca CH · 2026-03-16

R32

Miguel Tobon #563

Juan Pablo Ficovich #208

6-2 2-6 7-6(5)

8 Aces 5

3 Double Faults 4

82 Service Points 78

48 First Serve In 45

40 First Serve Won 35

19 Second Serve Won 19

3 Break Points Saved 1

5 Break Points Faced 3

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Clay San Luis Potosi CH · 2025-04-14

QF

Juan Pablo Ficovich #157

Miguel Tobon #1149

6-0 6-1

1 Aces 0

0 Double Faults 6

28 Service Points 53

14 First Serve In 25

13 First Serve Won 9

11 Second Serve Won 12

0 Break Points Saved 4

0 Break Points Faced 10

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Juan Pablo Ficovich vs Miguel Tobon — Prediction

Why This Prediction?

Player Comparison

Performance vs. the Odds

Serve & Return

Break Point Performance

Head-to-Head

Juan Pablo Ficovich — Last 10

Miguel Tobon — Last 10