ATP tennis predict — Juan Pablo Ficovich vs Evan Zhu

Challenger Hard Kingston 2 challenger · 1. round 21:30

Predicted probability

Juan Pablo Ficovich

Argentina

40.49%

Evan Zhu

USA

59.51%

Average Odds

2.08 / 1.65

Market probability

44.24% / 55.76%

Why This Prediction?

Evan Zhu is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1526 vs 1500), a higher Elo rating (1519 vs 1499) and a stronger return game (36.1% vs 31.6% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1498.6 Elo 1518.9

1499.7 Elo (surface) 1525.5

190 Wins (Challenger) 72

48 Wins (surface) 59

5 Last 15 form 11

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.920 Dominance ratio 1.079

380 Rank 526

29.6 Age 28.0

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Juan Pablo Ficovich

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–6L · 14.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

13 matches with market odds since 2026-06-06.

Evan Zhu

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–4L · 0.0%

18 matches with market odds since 2026-07-13.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Juan Pablo Ficovich Evan Zhu

1st Serve In %

60.6%

58.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

63.9%

60.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

44.9%

48.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

24.4%

32.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.3%

44.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.41

0.34

Double Faults per Service Game

0.26

0.21

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

64.9%

62.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

64.9%

68.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.9%

50.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.8%

37.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.0%

58.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.25

0.17

Double Faults per Service Game

0.22

0.41

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Juan Pablo Ficovich Evan Zhu

Break Points Saved %

50.0%

48.3%

Break Points Converted %

33.3%

35.7%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

52.0%

56.8%

Break Points Converted %

40.3%

39.2%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Juan Pablo Ficovich 0 – 0 Evan Zhu

Hard Kingston 2 challenger · 2026-08-26

1. round

Juan Pablo Ficovich #380

Evan Zhu #526

7-6 4-6 6-2

7 Aces 1

7 Double Faults 8

93 Service Points 114

55 First Serve In 62

44 First Serve Won 39

17 Second Serve Won 25

6 Break Points Saved 10

9 Break Points Faced 14

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.1 Average Odds 1.6

Juan Pablo Ficovich vs Evan Zhu — Prediction