ATP tennis predict — Juan Manuel La Serna vs Filip Cristian Jianu

Challenger Clay Tulln challenger · 1. round 11:30

Predicted probability

Juan Manuel La Serna

Argentina

53.96%

Filip Cristian Jianu

Romania

46.04%

Average Odds

1.90 / 1.81

Market probability

48.79% / 51.21%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1599.6 Elo 1546.6

1617.9 Elo (surface) 1572.5

45 Wins (Challenger) 120

43 Wins (surface) 99

9 Last 15 form 6

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.875 Dominance ratio 1.001

289 Rank 269

22.6 Age 25.0

left Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Juan Manuel La Serna

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

15 matches with market odds since 2026-06-25.

Filip Cristian Jianu

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–5L · 28.6%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

15 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Juan Manuel La Serna Filip Cristian Jianu

1st Serve In %

64.7%

75.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

57.6%

62.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.0%

44.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

22.7%

32.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

20.0%

47.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.25

0.14

Double Faults per Service Game

0.38

0.14

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

61.8%

63.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

65.1%

69.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.3%

54.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.0%

31.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.8%

43.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.23

0.27

Double Faults per Service Game

0.19

0.17

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Juan Manuel La Serna Filip Cristian Jianu

Break Points Saved %

55.6%

70.3%

Break Points Converted %

0.0%

58.3%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

48.5%

58.8%

Break Points Converted %

27.7%

41.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Juan Manuel La Serna 0 – 0 Filip Cristian Jianu

Clay Tulln challenger · 2026-09-08

1. round

Juan Manuel La Serna #289

Filip Cristian Jianu #269

6-4 3-6 6-3

4 Aces 4

3 Double Faults 1

86 Service Points 86

56 First Serve In 58

42 First Serve Won 39

15 Second Serve Won 14

5 Break Points Saved 6

7 Break Points Faced 9

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.9 Average Odds 1.8

Juan Manuel La Serna vs Filip Cristian Jianu — Prediction