ATP tennis predict — Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Yi Zhou

ATP Hard Chengdu · 1. round 04:00

Predicted probability

Juan Manuel Cerundolo

Argentina

72.36%

Yi Zhou

China

27.64%

Average Odds

1.46 / 2.69

Market probability

64.82% / 35.18%

Why This Prediction?

Juan Manuel Cerundolo is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1934 vs 1640), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1774 vs 1604) and a stronger return game (44.2% vs 38.0% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1933.9 Elo 1639.9

1774.4 Elo (surface) 1604.2

83 Wins 9

16 Wins (surface) 7

8 Last 15 form 7

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.176 Dominance ratio 0.962

53 Rank 273

24.8 Age 21.5

left Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Juan Manuel Cerundolo

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–4L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 2W–2L · 50.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Yi Zhou

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–4L · 60.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

18 matches with market odds since 2026-06-08.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Juan Manuel Cerundolo Yi Zhou

1st Serve In %

55.7%

64.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

76.1%

72.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.6%

50.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.1%

25.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.9%

51.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.46

0.78

Double Faults per Service Game

0.34

0.12

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

57.1%

59.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

74.3%

70.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.6%

53.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

36.2%

27.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.4%

49.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.30

0.54

Double Faults per Service Game

0.14

0.26

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Juan Manuel Cerundolo Yi Zhou

Break Points Saved %

63.6%

66.7%

Break Points Converted %

43.4%

37.3%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

69.1%

70.0%

Break Points Converted %

46.8%

41.5%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Juan Manuel Cerundolo and Yi Zhou have never played each other.

Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Yi Zhou — Prediction