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Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Miomir Kecmanovic — Prediction

ATP Clay Gstaad · R16

Predicted probability

Juan Manuel Cerundolo

Argentina

57.28%

Miomir Kecmanovic

Serbia

42.72%

Average Odds

1.70  /  2.12

Market probability

55.50%  /  44.50%

Why This Prediction?

Juan Manuel Cerundolo is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1822 vs 1770), more wins on clay courts (163 vs 20) and a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1819 vs 1770).

Player Comparison

1822.5 Elo 1770.1
1819.4 Elo (surface) 1770.1
76 Wins 209
63 Wins (surface) 54
9 Last 15 form 6
1 Head-to-head wins 0
0.879 Dominance ratio 1.084
45 Rank 59
24.7 Age 26.9
left Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Juan Manuel Cerundolo

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–1L · 75.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–4L · 33.3%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–2L · 66.7%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 2W–2L · 50.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Miomir Kecmanovic

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–5L · 50.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–4L · 20.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Juan Manuel Cerundolo Miomir Kecmanovic

1st Serve In %

55.7%
58.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

76.1%
74.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.6%
45.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.1%
32.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.9%
48.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.46
0.64

Double Faults per Service Game

0.34
0.40

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

57.1%
58.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

74.3%
72.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.6%
52.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

36.2%
38.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.4%
57.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.30
0.32

Double Faults per Service Game

0.14
0.17

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Juan Manuel Cerundolo Miomir Kecmanovic

Break Points Saved %

63.6%
64.7%

Break Points Converted %

43.4%
35.2%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

69.1%
65.6%

Break Points Converted %

46.8%
49.4%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Juan Manuel Cerundolo 10 Miomir Kecmanovic

Clay Gstaad · 2026-07-16
9 Aces 2
3 Double Faults 1
96 Service Points 88
51 First Serve In 58
39 First Serve Won 43
27 Second Serve Won 17
2 Break Points Saved 2
3 Break Points Faced 4
32 Winners 30
38 Unforced Errors 42
1.7 Average Odds 2.1
Clay Cordoba · 2021-02-22
4 Aces 3
0 Double Faults 3
91 Service Points 100
66 First Serve In 64
42 First Serve Won 40
16 Second Serve Won 16
2 Break Points Saved 6
5 Break Points Faced 12
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -

Juan Manuel Cerundolo — Last 10

L L W W L W W L W L

Miomir Kecmanovic — Last 10

L L W L W L W L L W