ATP tennis predict — Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Ignacio Buse

ATP Hard Winston Salem · QF 22:00

Predicted probability

Juan Manuel Cerundolo

Argentina

56.41%

Ignacio Buse

Peru

43.59%

Average Odds

1.80 / 1.98

Market probability

52.38% / 47.62%

Why This Prediction?

Juan Manuel Cerundolo is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1843 vs 1782), a stronger serve (66.7% vs 57.9% of service points won) and a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1663 vs 1637).

Player Comparison

1842.6 Elo 1782.2

1662.7 Elo (surface) 1637.5

83 Wins 37

16 Wins (surface) 9

9 Last 15 form 7

2 Head-to-head wins 0

1.160 Dominance ratio 0.797

51 Rank 36

24.8 Age 22.4

left Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Juan Manuel Cerundolo

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–4L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 2W–2L · 50.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Ignacio Buse

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–3L · 62.5%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–5L · 37.5%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

20 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Juan Manuel Cerundolo Ignacio Buse

1st Serve In %

55.7%

64.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

76.1%

64.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.6%

47.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.1%

25.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.9%

52.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.46

0.37

Double Faults per Service Game

0.34

0.23

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

57.1%

61.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

74.3%

69.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.6%

49.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

36.2%

37.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.4%

51.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.30

0.36

Double Faults per Service Game

0.14

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Juan Manuel Cerundolo Ignacio Buse

Break Points Saved %

63.6%

56.0%

Break Points Converted %

43.4%

43.8%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

69.1%

54.8%

Break Points Converted %

46.8%

34.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Juan Manuel Cerundolo 2 – 0 Ignacio Buse

Hard Winston Salem · 2026-08-27

QF

Ignacio Buse #36

Juan Manuel Cerundolo #51

7-6 4-6 6-2

7 Aces 3

2 Double Faults 1

96 Service Points 104

46 First Serve In 65

28 First Serve Won 43

25 Second Serve Won 20

8 Break Points Saved 6

14 Break Points Faced 11

0 Winners 0

0 Unforced Errors 0

2.0 Average Odds 1.8

Clay Gstaad · 2025-07-14

SF

Juan Manuel Cerundolo #109

Ignacio Buse #167

6-3 6-3

3 Aces 3

1 Double Faults 3

54 Service Points 54

40 First Serve In 26

30 First Serve Won 17

9 Second Serve Won 15

1 Break Points Saved 3

1 Break Points Faced 6

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Clay Lima 2 CH · 2024-11-04

R32

Juan Manuel Cerundolo #143

Ignacio Buse #221

1-6 6-3 7-5

4 Aces 0

2 Double Faults 1

109 Service Points 74

80 First Serve In 58

47 First Serve Won 44

18 Second Serve Won 5

10 Break Points Saved 1

13 Break Points Faced 4