ATP tennis predict — Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Hamad Medjedovic

ATP Hard Montreal · 1. round

Predicted probability

Juan Manuel Cerundolo

Argentina

35.02%

Hamad Medjedovic

Serbia

64.98%

Average Odds

2.32 / 1.60

Market probability

40.82% / 59.18%

Why This Prediction?

Hamad Medjedovic is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1759 vs 1521), more wins on hard courts (37 vs 11) and a better head-to-head record against Juan Manuel Cerundolo (2-0).

Player Comparison

1816.8 Elo 1771.3

1520.8 Elo (surface) 1759.4

78 Wins 83

11 Wins (surface) 37

9 Last 15 form 10

0 Head-to-head wins 2

1.030 Dominance ratio 1.006

50 Rank 73

24.7 Age 23.0

left Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Juan Manuel Cerundolo

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–4L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 2W–2L · 50.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Hamad Medjedovic

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

6 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Juan Manuel Cerundolo Hamad Medjedovic

1st Serve In %

55.7%

63.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

76.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.6%

51.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.1%

24.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.9%

49.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.46

0.82

Double Faults per Service Game

0.34

0.26

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

57.1%

65.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

74.3%

71.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.6%

51.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

36.2%

36.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.4%

56.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.30

0.43

Double Faults per Service Game

0.14

0.23

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Juan Manuel Cerundolo Hamad Medjedovic

Break Points Saved %

63.6%

64.2%

Break Points Converted %

43.4%

26.4%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

69.1%

62.0%

Break Points Converted %

46.8%

48.8%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Juan Manuel Cerundolo 0 – 2 Hamad Medjedovic

Hard Montreal · 2026-08-04

1. round

Juan Manuel Cerundolo #52

Hamad Medjedovic #73

6-4 6-2

13 Aces 6

1 Double Faults 3

54 Service Points 54

30 First Serve In 38

27 First Serve Won 27

13 Second Serve Won 6

2 Break Points Saved 4

2 Break Points Faced 7

25 Winners 16

14 Unforced Errors 28

2.3 Average Odds 1.6

Clay Roland Garros · 2025-05-26

R64

Hamad Medjedovic #74

Juan Manuel Cerundolo #109

6-3 6-4 7-5

4 Aces 6

5 Double Faults 6

95 Service Points 105

60 First Serve In 54

44 First Serve Won 33

13 Second Serve Won 22

5 Break Points Saved 7

8 Break Points Faced 14

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Clay Roland Garros · 2023-05-29

Q2

Hamad Medjedovic #168

Juan Manuel Cerundolo #105

6-3 3-6 6-3

9 Aces 2

7 Double Faults 0

112 Service Points 90

70 First Serve In 65

47 First Serve Won 36

15 Second Serve Won 12

10 Break Points Saved 5

14 Break Points Faced 10