ATP tennis predict — Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Bu Yunchaokete

ATP Hard Beijing · 1. round 04:00

Predicted probability

Juan Manuel Cerundolo

Argentina

44.62%

Bu Yunchaokete

China

55.38%

Average Odds

2.26 / 1.62

Market probability

41.75% / 58.25%

Why This Prediction?

Bu Yunchaokete is the favorite because he has more wins on hard courts (80 vs 8), the advantage of playing in his home country and a better head-to-head record against Juan Manuel Cerundolo (1-0).

Player Comparison

1929.2 Elo 1895.6

1774.0 Elo (surface) 1816.9

84 Wins 40

17 Wins (surface) 35

8 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 1

1.176 Dominance ratio 1.138

53 Rank 104

24.9 Age 24.7

left Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Juan Manuel Cerundolo

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–4L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–3L · 57.1%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 2W–2L · 50.0%

24 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Bu Yunchaokete

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–3L · 57.1%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 5W–2L · 71.4%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

25 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Juan Manuel Cerundolo Bu Yunchaokete

1st Serve In %

56.0%

59.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

75.5%

75.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.3%

44.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.4%

24.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.5%

51.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.42

0.63

Double Faults per Service Game

0.28

0.21

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

57.1%

60.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

74.3%

70.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.6%

43.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

36.2%

24.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.4%

40.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.30

0.44

Double Faults per Service Game

0.14

0.30

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Juan Manuel Cerundolo Bu Yunchaokete

Break Points Saved %

63.5%

50.0%

Break Points Converted %

44.1%

45.5%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

69.1%

38.6%

Break Points Converted %

46.8%

18.6%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Juan Manuel Cerundolo 0 – 1 Bu Yunchaokete

Hard Shanghai Masters · 2025-10-01

R128

Bu Yunchaokete #121

Juan Manuel Cerundolo #87

6-3 6-7(5) 6-3

10 Aces 10

1 Double Faults 4

117 Service Points 97

82 First Serve In 58

63 First Serve Won 46

16 Second Serve Won 19

9 Break Points Saved 3

9 Break Points Faced 5

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Bu Yunchaokete — Prediction