ATP tennis predict — Juan Cruz Martin Manzano vs Samuele Pieri

Challenger Clay Genoa 2 challenger · 1. round 20:30

Predicted probability

Juan Cruz Martin Manzano

Italy

62.09%

Samuele Pieri

Italy

37.91%

Average Odds

1.62 / 2.16

Market probability

57.14% / 42.86%

Why This Prediction?

Juan Cruz Martin Manzano is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1581 vs 1549), a stronger return game (41.5% vs 34.9% of return points won) and a higher Elo rating (1577 vs 1518).

Player Comparison

1577.0 Elo 1518.1

1581.3 Elo (surface) 1548.6

15 Wins (Challenger) 17

15 Wins (surface) 17

6 Last 15 form 6

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.960 Dominance ratio 0.913

438 Rank 395

21.8 Age 24.6

left Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Juan Cruz Martin Manzano

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–7L · 30.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-06-07.

Samuele Pieri

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–5L · 37.5%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–4L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

21 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Juan Cruz Martin Manzano Samuele Pieri

1st Serve In %

56.8%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

58.0%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.6%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.5%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

43.3%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.07

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.40

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

65.0%

58.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

57.6%

68.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

44.9%

46.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

43.4%

32.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

57.9%

41.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.13

0.16

Double Faults per Service Game

0.24

0.33

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Juan Cruz Martin Manzano Samuele Pieri

Break Points Saved %

37.5%

—

Break Points Converted %

75.0%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

40.0%

61.9%

Break Points Converted %

53.1%

39.4%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Juan Cruz Martin Manzano 0 – 0 Samuele Pieri

Clay Genoa 2 challenger · 2026-09-21

1. round

Juan Cruz Martin Manzano #438

Samuele Pieri #395

6-4 6-2

1 Aces 2

- Double Faults -

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

- First Serve Won -

- Second Serve Won -

1 Break Points Saved 10

3 Break Points Faced 15

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.6 Average Odds 2.2

Juan Cruz Martin Manzano vs Samuele Pieri — Prediction