ATP tennis predict — Juan Cruz Martin Manzano vs Gerard Campana Lee

Challenger Clay Biella challenger · qualification - round of 16 10:00

Predicted probability

Juan Cruz Martin Manzano

Italy

40.79%

Gerard Campana Lee

South Korea

59.21%

Average Odds

2.13 / 1.63

Market probability

43.35% / 56.65%

Why This Prediction?

Gerard Campana Lee is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1620 vs 1550), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1612 vs 1555) and fewer double faults per game (0.13 vs 0.19).

Player Comparison

1550.2 Elo 1619.6

1554.6 Elo (surface) 1612.4

13 Wins (Challenger) 77

13 Wins (surface) 76

7 Last 15 form 10

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.960 Dominance ratio 1.354

441 Rank 541

21.8 Age 22.0

left Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Juan Cruz Martin Manzano

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–7L · 30.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-06-07.

Gerard Campana Lee

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 8W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–6L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

25 matches with market odds since 2026-06-07.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Juan Cruz Martin Manzano Gerard Campana Lee

1st Serve In %

56.8%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

58.0%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.6%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.5%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

43.3%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.07

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.40

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

65.0%

64.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

57.6%

70.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

44.9%

52.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

43.4%

36.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

57.9%

55.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.13

0.26

Double Faults per Service Game

0.24

0.19

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Juan Cruz Martin Manzano Gerard Campana Lee

Break Points Saved %

37.5%

—

Break Points Converted %

75.0%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

40.0%

62.7%

Break Points Converted %

53.1%

55.6%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Juan Cruz Martin Manzano 0 – 0 Gerard Campana Lee

Clay Biella challenger · 2026-09-14

qualification - round of 16

Gerard Campana Lee #526

Juan Cruz Martin Manzano #455

6-2 7-5

1 Aces 1

2 Double Faults 2

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

18 First Serve Won 25

9 Second Serve Won 14

2 Break Points Saved 2

7 Break Points Faced 4

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.6 Average Odds 2.1

Juan Cruz Martin Manzano vs Gerard Campana Lee — Prediction