ATP tennis predict — Juan Cruz Martin Manzano vs Fausto Tabacco

Challenger Clay Como challenger · 1. round 13:00

Predicted probability

Juan Cruz Martin Manzano

Italy

43.04%

Fausto Tabacco

Italy

56.96%

Average Odds

1.56 / 2.29

Market probability

59.48% / 40.52%

Why This Prediction?

Fausto Tabacco is the favorite because he has a stronger return game (41.9% vs 38.6% of return points won), more career match wins (12 vs 11) and a stronger serve (54.7% vs 53.7% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1518.3 Elo 1517.8

1529.0 Elo (surface) 1528.4

11 Wins (Challenger) 12

11 Wins (surface) 11

8 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.835 Dominance ratio 0.925

441 Rank 563

21.7 Age 24.3

left Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Juan Cruz Martin Manzano

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–7L · 30.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-06-07.

Fausto Tabacco

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

5 matches with market odds since 2026-06-28.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Juan Cruz Martin Manzano Fausto Tabacco

1st Serve In %

56.8%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

58.0%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.6%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.5%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

43.3%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.07

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.40

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

65.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

57.6%

63.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

44.9%

45.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

43.4%

31.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

57.9%

54.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.13

0.16

Double Faults per Service Game

0.24

0.39

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Juan Cruz Martin Manzano Fausto Tabacco

Break Points Saved %

37.5%

—

Break Points Converted %

75.0%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

40.0%

57.5%

Break Points Converted %

53.1%

40.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Juan Cruz Martin Manzano 0 – 0 Fausto Tabacco

Clay Como challenger · 2026-09-01

1. round

Juan Cruz Martin Manzano #441

Fausto Tabacco #563

6-3 3-6 6-0

1 Aces 2

3 Double Faults 4

72 Service Points 89

45 First Serve In 61

28 First Serve Won 31

13 Second Serve Won 11

6 Break Points Saved 4

10 Break Points Faced 11

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.6 Average Odds 2.3

Juan Cruz Martin Manzano vs Fausto Tabacco — Prediction