ATP tennis predict — Juan Cruz Martin Manzano vs Daniele Rapagnetta

Challenger Clay Todi challenger · qualification - 1. round 14:35

Predicted probability

Juan Cruz Martin Manzano

Italy

47.98%

Daniele Rapagnetta

Italy

52.02%

Average Odds

1.53 / 2.30

Market probability

60.05% / 39.95%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1553.1 Elo 1518.9

1564.7 Elo (surface) 1520.8

10 Wins (Challenger) 6

10 Wins (surface) 6

8 Last 15 form 6

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.716 Dominance ratio 1.009

405 Rank 736

21.6 Age 19.7

left Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Juan Cruz Martin Manzano

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–7L · 30.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-06-07.

Daniele Rapagnetta

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

8 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Juan Cruz Martin Manzano Daniele Rapagnetta

1st Serve In %

56.8%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

58.0%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.6%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.5%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

43.3%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.07

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.40

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

65.0%

61.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

57.6%

70.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

44.9%

52.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

43.4%

31.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

57.9%

53.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.13

0.15

Double Faults per Service Game

0.24

0.18

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Juan Cruz Martin Manzano Daniele Rapagnetta

Break Points Saved %

37.5%

—

Break Points Converted %

75.0%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

40.0%

64.2%

Break Points Converted %

53.1%

35.5%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Juan Cruz Martin Manzano 0 – 0 Daniele Rapagnetta

Clay Todi challenger · 2026-08-09

qualification - 1. round

Juan Cruz Martin Manzano #405

Daniele Rapagnetta #736

6-4 2-6 6-4

6 Aces 2

9 Double Faults 1

98 Service Points 93

60 First Serve In 50

45 First Serve Won 32

18 Second Serve Won 29

11 Break Points Saved 4

13 Break Points Faced 6

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.5 Average Odds 2.3

Juan Cruz Martin Manzano vs Daniele Rapagnetta — Prediction