ATP tennis predict — Juan Cruz Martin Manzano vs Alexander Weis

Challenger Clay Todi challenger · qualification - round of 16 11:30

Predicted probability

Juan Cruz Martin Manzano

Italy

56.84%

Alexander Weis

Italy

43.16%

Average Odds

1.70 / 2.05

Market probability

54.67% / 45.33%

Why This Prediction?

Juan Cruz Martin Manzano is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1594 vs 1524), a higher Elo rating (1583 vs 1516) and better recent form (9 wins in his last 15 matches vs 6).

Player Comparison

1583.2 Elo 1516.5

1593.9 Elo (surface) 1523.7

11 Wins (Challenger) 58

11 Wins (surface) 58

9 Last 15 form 6

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.717 Dominance ratio 0.778

405 Rank 594

21.6 Age 29.3

left Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Juan Cruz Martin Manzano

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–7L · 30.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-06-07.

Alexander Weis

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

6 matches with market odds since 2026-06-15.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Juan Cruz Martin Manzano Alexander Weis

1st Serve In %

56.8%

54.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

58.0%

65.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.6%

46.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.5%

16.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

43.3%

37.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.07

0.18

Double Faults per Service Game

0.40

0.36

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

65.0%

54.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

57.6%

62.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

44.9%

46.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

43.4%

28.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

57.9%

47.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.13

0.15

Double Faults per Service Game

0.24

0.30

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Juan Cruz Martin Manzano Alexander Weis

Break Points Saved %

37.5%

75.0%

Break Points Converted %

75.0%

28.6%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

40.0%

57.7%

Break Points Converted %

53.1%

53.5%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Juan Cruz Martin Manzano 0 – 0 Alexander Weis

Clay Todi challenger · 2026-08-10

qualification - round of 16

Alexander Weis #594

Juan Cruz Martin Manzano #405

6-4 6-4

- Aces -

- Double Faults -

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

- First Serve Won -

- Second Serve Won -

- Break Points Saved -

- Break Points Faced -

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.0 Average Odds 1.7

Juan Cruz Martin Manzano vs Alexander Weis — Prediction