ATP tennis predict — Juan Carlos Prado Angelo vs Valerio Aboian

Challenger Clay Buenos Aires challenger · R16 15:00

Predicted probability

Juan Carlos Prado Angelo

Bolivia

53.77%

Valerio Aboian

Argentina

46.23%

Average Odds

1.36 / 2.85

Market probability

67.70% / 32.30%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1696.4 Elo 1654.3

1731.3 Elo (surface) 1659.3

91 Wins (Challenger) 76

82 Wins (surface) 76

9 Last 15 form 10

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.068 Dominance ratio 0.986

164 Rank 350

21.6 Age 24.3

right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Juan Carlos Prado Angelo

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–7L · 22.2%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

15 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Valerio Aboian

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–3L · 57.1%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

19 matches with market odds since 2026-06-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Juan Carlos Prado Angelo Valerio Aboian

1st Serve In %

62.1%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

65.7%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.0%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

35.8%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.0%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.16

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.19

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

57.8%

56.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.5%

65.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.5%

48.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.2%

41.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.8%

49.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.16

0.40

Double Faults per Service Game

0.28

0.12

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Juan Carlos Prado Angelo Valerio Aboian

Break Points Saved %

62.1%

—

Break Points Converted %

50.0%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

56.2%

64.0%

Break Points Converted %

42.5%

43.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Juan Carlos Prado Angelo and Valerio Aboian have never played each other.

Juan Carlos Prado Angelo vs Valerio Aboian — Prediction