ATP tennis predict — Juan Carlos Prado Angelo vs Tomas Barrios Vera

Grand Slam Hard US Open · qualification - 1. round 18:30

Predicted probability

Juan Carlos Prado Angelo

Bolivia

49.91%

Tomas Barrios Vera

Chile

50.09%

Average Odds

2.12 / 1.67

Market probability

44.06% / 55.94%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1613.6 Elo 1652.0

1546.4 Elo (surface) 1561.8

5 Wins 50

1 Wins (surface) 12

5 Last 15 form 7

0 Head-to-head wins 2

0.952 Dominance ratio 0.978

154 Rank 147

21.5 Age 28.7

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Juan Carlos Prado Angelo

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–7L · 22.2%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

15 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Tomas Barrios Vera

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

13 matches with market odds since 2026-06-08.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Juan Carlos Prado Angelo Tomas Barrios Vera

1st Serve In %

62.1%

65.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

65.7%

64.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.0%

49.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

35.8%

27.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.0%

41.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.16

0.31

Double Faults per Service Game

0.19

0.15

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

57.8%

63.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.5%

64.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.5%

54.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.2%

36.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.8%

46.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.16

0.26

Double Faults per Service Game

0.28

0.13

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Juan Carlos Prado Angelo Tomas Barrios Vera

Break Points Saved %

62.1%

60.5%

Break Points Converted %

50.0%

35.8%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

56.2%

62.3%

Break Points Converted %

42.5%

42.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Juan Carlos Prado Angelo 0 – 2 Tomas Barrios Vera

Hard US Open · 2026-08-24

qualification - 1. round

Tomas Barrios Vera #144

Juan Carlos Prado Angelo #155

6-2 5-7 6-0

0 Aces 0

4 Double Faults 3

71 Service Points 78

39 First Serve In 44

19 First Serve Won 31

20 Second Serve Won 24

3 Break Points Saved 4

8 Break Points Faced 5

14 Winners 18

29 Unforced Errors 28

1.7 Average Odds 2.1

Clay Montevideo CH · 2025-11-10

R32

Tomas Barrios Vera #111

Juan Carlos Prado Angelo #228

6-4 6-1

2 Aces 2

2 Double Faults 1

59 Service Points 46

41 First Serve In 23

30 First Serve Won 16

9 Second Serve Won 9

3 Break Points Saved 1

4 Break Points Faced 5

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Clay Cali CH · 2025-10-06

F

Tomas Barrios Vera #137

Juan Carlos Prado Angelo #259

6-1 6-4

1 Aces 5

0 Double Faults 8

48 Service Points 64

31 First Serve In 34

26 First Serve Won 22

9 Second Serve Won 10

1 Break Points Saved 7

2 Break Points Faced 11